Soal SMA · Soal cerita · Kesulitan 4/5
A politician claims: 'Our new tax policy led to a 10% increase in small business creation.' However, the policy was implemented during an economic boom. Which of the following is the strongest counterargument?
- A.The increase might be due to the economic boom rather than the tax policy.
- B.The tax policy was too complex for small businesses.
- C.Small business creation is not a good measure of economic health.
- D.The 10% increase is not statistically significant.
Kunci jawaban & pembahasan
Jawaban: The increase might be due to the economic boom rather than the tax policy.
The economic boom is a confounding variable that could explain the increase, weakening the causal claim.
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